Jan Choinski vs Alibek Kachmazov Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: Choinski has recently achieved a 47.15% win rate on second serve points, compared to Kachmazov's 44.36%. Is this an advantage for Choinski? Yes, albeit a slight one.
• Return Game Strength: Kachmazov excels in returning opponents' second serves, winning 45.77% of points, while Choinski has managed 40.94%. A key strength for Kachmazov.
• Break Point Defense: Under pressure, Choinski saves 57.69% of breakpoints, slightly better than Kachmazov's 54.7%, crucial for potential in-game pressure scenarios.
• Overall Match Performance: In the past year, Kachmazov has a stronger overall win percentage at 54.84% compared to Choinski's 48.21%.
• Surface Preference: Choinski performs best on clay with a 62% win rate, while Kachmazov is most successful on indoor hard courts at 67%.
• Event Level Experience: Both players primarily compete in Challengers/ITF tournaments, with Kachmazov having a slight edge in win percentage.
• Head-to-Head Record: Kachmazov has a 1-0 lead in direct encounters, winning their previous meeting on carpet.
• Match Durations: Past matches average around 2 hours and 21 minutes, suggesting evenly contested battles.
• Breaking Serve: In recent matches, Choinski has a higher breakpoint conversion rate at 39.13% compared to Kachmazov's 28.03%.
• Quality of Opponents: Kachmazov usually faces slightly higher-ranked opponents, with an average rank of 242.87, whereas Choinski faces ranks around 257.23.
• Deciding Set Performance: Both players have an even 50% win rate in deciding sets over the last year, providing no clear edge here.

Editorial Prediction (June 15, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Choinski and Kachmazov holds the promise of being a closely contested encounter. Choinski enters with a slight advantage on clay and better breakpoint conversion statistics, which may play in his favor during crucial moments.

However, Kachmazov's stronger overall performance over the past year and his superior record in head-to-head matches cannot be overlooked. His proficiency in returning second serves could pose a significant challenge for Choinski.

Kachmazov's consistent track record against slightly stronger opponents further bolsters his competitiveness for the match. Taking all factors into account, Kachmazov appears to be the likely winner of this upcoming tennis match.